Link & connect!

The American Presidential election is over, the Sudan raid a few weeks ago seems to have been carried out successfully, so now Israel has this week turned to Hamas. As I write, both sides are firing rockets at each other and Israel (through its usual high-grade intelligence gathering) has eliminated a top Hamas military leader in bordering Gaza. In response, Hamas has spoken of 'opening the gates to hell'.

These should be seen as part of an overall plan or package and not simply random events. When Israel starts its attack on Iran, the last thing it wants is too much activity in response from its neighbours. So weaken the most likely to be troublesome first, so you can then focus most of your attention on your real enemy - Iran. Egypt will, of course, make all the necessary protests and complaints, but is unlikely to be drawn into an armed response. Syria has too much on its plate already and Jordan will, if reluctantly, have to sit by and watch.

The unknown (and perhaps the most worrying aspect) is whether Israel itself would contemplate using nuclear warheads to accomplish the task of destroying Iran's nuclear capability. If intelligence reports are to be believed, Iran has protected much of its nuclear development so well that conventional weapons would be unable to inflict much damage. You therefore have to get inside the installations with Special Forces - very difficult and risky - or use the most powerful aerial delivered missiles and bombs that have ever existed!

For those of you interested in such things, the attacks on Hamas coincided with an eclipse. In the coming weeks and months, be prepared for things to get worse rather than better.
   

The countdown has begun

In just a few days, we should know the outcome of the US Presidential election - or maybe not! Some of the polls say it is too close to call, others predict a victory for Obama; but not necessarily the Democrats. The astrologers, on balance, also think it is more likely to be Obama; then remind their readers that Mercury (the planet of communication) will begin its retrograde cycle at this time. This could produce delays or an inconclusive outcome, as it did with the election of George W Bush.

Back in August on this blog, I wrote that I did not think Israel would undertake a major strike against Iran's nuclear facilities until after the election, or possibly into 2013. This was despite many people thinking such action was imminent. Well, that impediment is almost out of the way. Romney would almost certainly support it and Obama, I suspect, would remain as neutral as it is possible to be.

My understanding is that Israeli representatives have already spoken with both 'camps', without openly admitting the date they have pencilled in. What we do know, is that a couple of weeks ago the Israeli airforce had a 'trial run' against a missile-making factory in Sudan that supplies Iran. As well as inflicting significant damage, they also proved their capabilities in electronically jamming radar and air air defence systems; critical for any attack on Iran.

Love it or loathe it, you know that Israel is never going to turn the other cheek when it feels threatened. Because they are so reliant upon US dollars, they have had to accept (reluctantly) some constraints; in this case waiting until after the election. Then, they will do what they want to do.

If you thought 2012 was a 'difficult' year, just wait for 2013. If you have already read Alpha to Omega, you will know my take on it.

http://alpha-to-omega.org.uk