The American Presidential election is over, the Sudan raid a few weeks ago seems to have been carried out successfully, so now Israel has this week turned to Hamas. As I write, both sides are firing rockets at each other and Israel (through its usual high-grade intelligence gathering) has eliminated a top Hamas military leader in bordering Gaza. In response, Hamas has spoken of 'opening the gates to hell'.
These should be seen as part of an overall plan or package and not simply random events. When Israel starts its attack on Iran, the last thing it wants is too much activity in response from its neighbours. So weaken the most likely to be troublesome first, so you can then focus most of your attention on your real enemy - Iran. Egypt will, of course, make all the necessary protests and complaints, but is unlikely to be drawn into an armed response. Syria has too much on its plate already and Jordan will, if reluctantly, have to sit by and watch.
The unknown (and perhaps the most worrying aspect) is whether Israel itself would contemplate using nuclear warheads to accomplish the task of destroying Iran's nuclear capability. If intelligence reports are to be believed, Iran has protected much of its nuclear development so well that conventional weapons would be unable to inflict much damage. You therefore have to get inside the installations with Special Forces - very difficult and risky - or use the most powerful aerial delivered missiles and bombs that have ever existed!
For those of you interested in such things, the attacks on Hamas coincided with an eclipse. In the coming weeks and months, be prepared for things to get worse rather than better.
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